Sunday, 30 October 2011

3.9 MILLION MISSING FEMALES: IMPACT ON SOCIETY

"When Munni arrived in this fertile, sugarcane-growing region of north India as a young bride years ago, little did she imagine she would be forced into having sex and bearing children with her husband's two brothers who had failed to find wives. 


"My husband and his parents said I had to share myself with his brothers," said the woman in her mid-40s, dressed in a yellow sari, sitting in a village community centre in Baghpat district in Uttar Pradesh……. 
…….According to India's 2011 census, there are only 858 women to every 1,000 men in Baghpat district, compared to the national sex ratio of 940. 

Child sex ratios in Baghpat are even more skewed and on the decline with 837 girls in 2011 compared to 850 in 2001 -- a trend mirrored across districts in states such as Haryana, Punjab, Rajasthan and Gujarat. 

"In every village, there are at least five or six bachelors who can't find a wife. In some, there are up to three or four unmarried men in one family. It's a serious problem," says Shri Chand, 75, a retired police constable. "

-The Times of India – 28th October 2011. 

The above story appreared on the 28th October issue of the Times of India. It awakens the memory of a film which I had accidently stumbled upon one summer afternoon in 2005. Matrabhoomi – a film directed by Manish Jha and released sometime in 2003 examines the impact of female foeticide and female infanticide on the gender balance, and consequently the stability and attitudes of society. In the movie, Kalki (Tulip Joshi) is bought by Ramcharan (played by Sudhir Pandey) a father of five living some distance from the village. She is then married to all his five sons. Each night of the week, she is forced to sleep with one of the sons, and even the father gets his weekly night with her. The film ends on a violent but hopeful note, as she bears a baby girl while the men of the village kill each other off over rights to her and her child.

Matrabhoomi is a sort of movie which confronts its audiences with truths, which are so bitter that one feels motivated to avoid them to the extent possible. Well, no longer so. Disparity in Gender ratio has reached such proportions, that it has de-sensitised us to a degree where we hardly feel its important issue to think about at all. Today I see different variations of the Kalki's story taking shape in society every where. Society it seems is heading towards a highly volatile future.

Cause: 

The main reason behind growing disparity in Sex Ratios, especially in the northern states is preference of a male child over female child. This preference is so deeply entrenched in society that to have it fulfilled people either get their pregnancy terminated (if they get to learn that it’s a girl), or kill the new born, or desert the child in front of temple or orphanage so as to get rid of it. 

Historically, north Indian societies have always had a highly protective attitude towards women (may be due to the various invasions they witnessed in the past). This protective attitude meant that these girls / women never got equal opportunities on par with men to study, work or grow professionally. This in turn led to men enjoying relatively higher status in society over women. Over a period of time the society invented new ways like dowry for cashing in on the higher perceived status of man. This phenomenally increased the costs of raising a girl child. 

Over the course of time, society has changed a lot. Women now undertake higher learning which is helping them carve a niche for themselves in a variety of professions. However the beliefs against the girl child are so deeply rooted in the consciousness of most individuals that even after societal norms have underwent a complete overhaul in modern times, there are still a large section of population (both male and female) which views girl child as a burden. What is alarming here is that such beliefs are not limited families which are uneducated/illiterate etc. but encompass highly educated families also. The problem has gathered higher momentum in recent times because of availability of cheap methods of in womb sex determination (Ultra Sound) and pregnancy termination / abortion techniques. 

Extent of the Problem and Future Consequence: 
TABLE - A
Statewise BreakUp of Total Population of  India  . Based on Census 2011

STATE
TOTAL
MALE
FEMALE
ACTUAL SEX RATO (F PER 1000 M)
FEMALE POPULATION BASED ON NATURAL SEX RATE
SHORTFALL/SURPLUS IN FEMALES
BIGGEST OFFENDERS
1
Jammu & Kashmir
12548926
6665561
5883365
882.65
6121427
-238062
-4.0%
2
Himachal Pradesh
6856509
3473892
3382617
973.73
3344639
37978
1.1%
3
Punjab
27704236
14634819
13069417
893.04
13514261
-444844
-3.4%
4
Chandigarh #
1054686
580282
474404
817.54
514481
-40077
-8.4%
5
Uttarakhand
10116752
5154178
4962574
962.83
4935001
27573
0.6%
6
Haryana
25353081
13505130
11847951
877.29
12367357
-519406
-4.4%
7
NCT of Delhi #
16753235
8976410
7776825
866.36
8172310
-395485
-5.1%
8
Rajasthan
68621012
35620086
33000926
926.47
33473664
-472738
-1.4%
9
Uttar Pradesh
199581477
104596415
94985062
908.11
97356818
-2371756
-2.5%
10
Bihar
103804637
54185347
49619290
915.73
50636408
-1017118
-2.0%
11
Sikkim
607688
321661
286027
889.22
296433
-10406
-3.6%
12
Arunachal Pradesh
1382611
720232
662379
919.67
674444
-12065
-1.8%
13
Nagaland
1980602
1025707
954895
930.96
966147
-11252
-1.2%
14
Manipur
2721756
1369764
1351992
987.03
1327686
24306
1.8%
15
Mizoram
1091014
552339
538675
975.26
532202
6473
1.2%
16
Tripura
3671032
1871867
1799165
961.16
1790747
8418
0.5%
17
Meghalaya
2964007
1492668
1471339
985.71
1445857
25482
1.7%
18
Assam
31169272
15954927
15214345
953.58
15204523
9822
0.1%
19
West Bengal
91347736
46927389
44420347
946.58
44559871
-139524
-0.3%
20
Jharkhand
32966238
16931688
16034550
947.01
16081092
-46542
-0.3%
21
Orissa
41947358
21201678
20745680
978.49
20462126
283554
1.4%
22
Chhattisgarh
25540196
12827915
12712281
990.99
12458632
253649
2.0%
23
Madhya Pradesh
72597565
37612920
34984645
930.12
35413446
-428801
-1.2%
24
Gujarat
60383628
31482282
28901346
918.02
29455428
-554082
-1.9%
25
Daman & Diu #
242911
150100
92811
618.33
118493
-25682
-27.7%
26
Dadra & Nagar Haveli #
342853
193178
149675
774.80
167245
-17570
-11.7%
27
Maharashtra
112372972
58361397
54011575
925.47
54816084
-804509
-1.5%
28
Andhra Pradesh
84665533
42509881
42155652
991.67
41300260
855392
2.0%
29
Karnataka
61130704
31057742
30072962
968.29
29819856
253106
0.8%
30
Goa
1457723
740711
717012
968.01
711084
5928
0.8%
31
Lakshadweep #
64429
33106
31323
946.14
31429
-106
-0.3%
32
Kerala
33387677
16021290
17366387
1083.96
16286672
1079715
6.2%
33
Tamil Nadu
72138958
36158871
35980087
995.06
35189736
790351
2.2%
34
Puducherry #
1244464
610485
633979
1038.48
607056
26923
4.2%
35
Andaman & Nicobar Islands #
379944
202330
177614
877.84
185339
-7725
-4.3%

INDIA
1210193422
623724248
586469174
940.27
590338255
-3869081
-0.7%

TABLE - B
Statewise BreakUp of Population of  India between 0-7 Years of Age . Based on Census 2011

STATE
TOTAL
MALE
FEMALE
ACTUAL SEX RATO (F PER 1000 M)
FEMALE POPULATION BASED ON NATURAL SEX RATE
SHORTFALL/SURPLUS IN FEMALES
BIGGEST OFFENDERS
1
Jammu & Kashmir
2008642
1080662
927980
858.71
979825
-51845
-5.6%
2
Himachal Pradesh
763864
400681
363183
906.41
372617
-9434
-2.6%
3
Punjab
2941570
1593262
1348308
846.26
1434912
-86604
-6.4%
4
Chandigarh
117953
63187
54766
866.73
57538
-2772
-5.1%
5
Uttarakhand
1328844
704769
624075
885.50
648217
-24142
-3.9%
6
Haryana
3297724
1802047
1495677
829.99
1608646
-112969
-7.6%
7
NCT of Delhi
1970510
1055735
914775
866.48
961224
-46449
-5.1%
8
Rajasthan
10504916
5580212
4924704
882.53
5124349
-199645
-4.1%
9
Uttar Pradesh
29728235
15653175
14075060
899.18
14501578
-426518
-3.0%
10
Bihar
18582229
9615280
8966949
932.57
9064502
-97553
-1.1%
11
Sikkim
61077
31418
29659
944.01
29794
-135
-0.5%
12
Arunachal Pradesh
202759
103430
99329
960.35
98907
422
0.4%
13
Nagaland
285981
147111
138870
943.98
139503
-633
-0.5%
14
Manipur
353237
182684
170553
933.60
172311
-1758
-1.0%
15
Mizoram
165536
83965
81571
971.49
80749
822
1.0%
16
Tripura
444055
227354
216701
953.14
216612
89
0.0%
17
Meghalaya
555822
282189
273633
969.68
271133
2500
0.9%
18
Assam
4511307
2305088
2206219
957.11
2200638
5581
0.3%
19
West Bengal
10112599
5187264
4925335
949.51
4932975
-7640
-0.2%
20
Jharkhand
5237582
2695921
2541661
942.78
2554918
-13257
-0.5%
21
Orissa
5035650
2603208
2432442
934.40
2456415
-23973
-1.0%
22
Chhattisgarh
3584028
1824987
1759041
963.86
1748306
10735
0.6%
23
Madhya Pradesh
10548295
5516957
5031338
911.98
5145510
-114172
-2.3%
24
Gujarat
7494176
3974286
3519890
885.67
3655696
-135806
-3.9%
25
Daman & Diu
25880
13556
12324
909.12
12624
-300
-2.4%
26
Dadra & Nagar Haveli
49196
25575
23621
923.60
23998
-377
-1.6%
27
Maharashtra
12848375
6822262
6026113
883.30
6267500
-241387
-4.0%
28
Andhra Pradesh
8642686
4448330
4194356
942.91
4215944
-21588
-0.5%
29
Karnataka
6855801
3527844
3327957
943.34
3344293
-16336
-0.5%
30
Goa
139495
72669
66826
919.59
68046
-1220
-1.8%
31
Lakshadweep
7088
3715
3373
907.94
3458
-85
-2.5%
32
Kerala
3322247
1695935
1626312
958.95
1620608
5704
0.4%
33
Tamil Nadu
6894821
3542351
3352470
946.40
3363327
-10857
-0.3%
34
Puducherry
127610
64932
62678
965.29
62249
429
0.7%
35
Andaman & Nicobar Islands
39497
20094
19403
965.61
19267
136
0.7%

INDIA
158789287
82952135
75837152
914.23
77458189
-1621037
-2.1%

All northern states have a far less number of females per 1000 males, and together with Maharashtra and Gujrat they contribute to more than 80% shortfall in female population. The high percentage shortfall in the population of females in the Union Territories of Dadra Nagar Haveli and Daman & Diu (27% & 11%) is mainly due to ''Low Base Effect". North East, almost entire Southern India, and some coastal states in Eastern India like Orrisa and Jharkhand have  favorable sex ratios i.e instead of shortfall, these states have witnessed a surplus in number of female births.

States like Haryana and Delhi where the skewness in female population is the highest, can already be seen to be grappling with an unprecedented rise in crime against women and children. Other criminal activities like murder, assault, kidnapping etc. to have risen substantially. Villages across western UP, Delhi and Haryana are increasingly finding it tough to find brides for their sons. The acute shortage of girls of marriageable age in the community has led them to  buying brides from Bengal, Bihar, Kerala, Northern Africa. Some villages in Haryana, where the gender problem is deeply entrenched, villagers have resorted to kidnapping young girls from cities like Jaipur and Delhi who are usually then subjected to exploitation by multiple members of the family. 

There is a total shortfall of 3.9 million girls in the society. The amount of shortfall has been worked out by comparing the actual sex ratio with the 'natural sex rate/ratio' of 105 males for 100 females. Nature places the odds in favor of males because due to their inherent aggressive traits they tend to die early resulting from war, fights, murder etc. The natural sex ratio tells us how many girls "should have been there", had there been no human interventions (foeticide and infanticide ). The tables however do not show the distribution of males and females belonging to marriageable age bracket. However such a distribution is not really necessary because sexual inclinations (and their affect on behavior) do not wait till attainment of marriageable age, they start  at a far early age than that and last well till middle ages.

Table B shows state wise  gender distribution of children up to the age of 7 years. The sex ratio among these children will determine whether the gender problem will sort itself out in the coming years or get worse. The sex ratio in table B is drastically lower then the average in table A (total population) which is a clear indication that people are increasingly eliminating girl child. This will create bigger problems for the country in the years to come. The situation in Haryana and Delhi will get a lot worse with about 1,50,000 girls missing, this will leave 1,50,000 frustrated males without a partner and therefore lead them to get sex through means which may not be socially acceptable (e.g. rape, kidnapping, forced mairrage etc.). Another area to watch out for increase in women related violence would be Uttar Pradesh, a total of 4,26,0000 males will not find a partner in the coming decade which will definitely make the social fabric unstable.

APPEAL : Please don't destroy your baby girl. Or else, your baby boy will have to head for the animal farm some day. - Brutally straightforward but true.

YF-IThink

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